when will china invade australia

Just remember how many millions of Chines were murdered by the Japanese and the picture becomes clearer. Australians must face the fact that China is determined to invade Taiwan and in a China-dominated region we won't enjoy the freedoms we assume are our birthright. In doing so it is important to differentiate an attack from an offensive strike. Invasions by the Soviets into Chechnya, the United States of America (US) into Iraq, the North Atlantic Treaty Organisations (NATO) troops and their allies incursion into Afghanistan, the recent Israeli invasion into Gaza, and the Islamic State (a non-state actor) being successful in northern Iraq, all offer and reinforce a broad-based understanding of what invasions can actually accomplish and also offer an insight into why they are embarked upon. Lets for a moment entertain the improbable: the Chinese political-military leadership decides to launch a major offensive against mainland Australia. The Islands that Japan is arguing over were residue of second world war negotiations in which the pre-war possessions should eventually return to China. Finally, the PLA seriously lacks operational combat experience, including in managing expeditionary operations. The World Economy. After the next decade for Australia all will not be so secure. That sounds frightening!!! [4] http://www.abc.net.au/news/2014-08-19/japan-expands-their-military-amid-growing-tensions-with-china/5672932 Australia Network News, 19 August,, 2014. However, the relevant issue is invasions gain results which inevitably have to be repelled, defused or accepted. CAMP FOSTER, Okinawa A former Japanese military officer recently made waves after saying he believes China plans to invade and annex Taiwan by 2025 and Okinawa by 2045. Great article, and I had a nice chuckle at some of the sentiments of those who took the time to comment. China to INVADE Australia? Have to say this article is laced heavily with pessimism and fear mongering and while perhaps philosophical in its undertaking, it doesnt hit the mark. The shock of this state-of-affairs resides in Western nation-states and Western European-centric nations Australia and America, and to some extent Japan are included is included in this mix have been privy to, over the past several centuries is watching the slow but sure rise of Western Europe as a force. As Europe became a force it has incrementally been able to dictate its version of what government and governance should comprise of to the rest of the world. Hence, it can attack Australia by means of a sophisticated cyber offensive campaign, even without a formal declaration of hostile intent. Military Invasion alert after China crosses line. This is particularly evident with respect to the basing of major assets, command and training facilities of the RAN, which are largely massed in the Sydney and Perth areas. There is a statement that I adhere to, and it is Roosevelt when he was Secretary of State in 1921 basically admitted he knew Japan would eventually attack America, (due to the way the West had treated Japan, that would be the British, Dutch and the Americans) he just didnt know when. Updated at 01.00 EST Tensions between Australia and its biggest trading partner, China, drastically deteriorated last year when Prime Minister Scott Morrison called for an independent inquiry into the origins of. Note that preparation is NOT the same as Shannon Brandao on LinkedIn: U.S., UK and Australia carry out China-focused air drills Also I have no understanding at all of international politics. What is happening in China, and has been exponentially expanding in the past decade, is the PRC has set about accomplishing exactly what the West has done for centuries: developing a strong middle-class. Everyone is doing it hard at present. [11] An historical comparison can be made here which befits the Wests pattern, and in doing so offers the growth of China another perspective and the inherent dangers for the West. Strategic defence expert Ron Huisken labelled it sensational nonsense and rather tacky scaremongering. Australia must be willing to invade the Solomon Islands and topple its government if that's what is necessary to stop a proposed security pact between China and the Pacific nation going ahead . Nuh still something wrong. (Defence Department: Leading Seaman Daniel Goodman) 'War would impoverish us all' Sydney: Murdoch Press. A sad state of affairs. Britain robustly expanded beyond its own borders often usurping other nation-states, frequently through violence and colonisation in order to gain what it needed. Have a friend who was Ambassador to China and it would not take much to regain their respect. The coming state-of-affairs for Australia will be one surviving the numerous upcoming protracted and friction-filled escalations and the ever-greater political and military demands China will inevitably make. The evidence-base for this outcome is also in the history of the West. In the process of the IRs momentum the British government had to meet ever greater demands from its populace. What Australia can do to better improve its immediate security and harmony is withdraw from the UN Refugee Accords, and accept only those who meet strict selection, suitability and civility criteria. And moreover, for the US Australia would not be the only game in town. Reflecting on this statement, a significant part of the reason the US lost the Vietnam War is that it was not the only game in town[13] as it was beset with domestic civil strife, had ongoing issues with the Soviet Union-Cuba alliance, and had European Cold War commitments as well as the space race. An Australia-China conflict will also adhere to the not the only game in town principle for the US and for Australians to believe that the US will see a conflict in the A-P region as important enough to warrant an immediate response is simply wrong. The two-minute-long advert suggests that the Chinese government has been working with Australian politicians in buying businesses on the countrys shores. What am I missing? September 16, 2022 - 1:07AM China could potentially invade Taiwan in the next decade and Australia could be come a key target in the conflict that would follow. Strategically, Washingtons reliability as a security guarantor is the core of the issue. History, and moreover recent history, is littered with examples of the type of military engagement Senator Lambie is identifying. Ill give a dollar to anyone who actually read all that. He questionedwhatthey would do after landing in Pilbara. China knows America is getting weaker by the day, owns most of the US debt and will demand America to pay back the debt or China will cripple America economically (no more cheap loans). This means that we may include adverts from us and third parties based on our knowledge of you. We use your sign-up to provide content in the ways you've consented to and improve our understanding of you. To be sure, the US essentially having been sidelined to that of an equal rather than a superior player in the next decade is already being put into place by China. The present Lambie redneck doctrine of Invasion by China or Indonesia harks back to Menzies and his yellow peril election Arrows and like the Menzies arrows Lambies redneck doctrine is just a ploy to stay elected. What the hell have we done? The US would expect Australia to contribute air and naval forces such as warships HMAS Hobart and HMAS Stalwart, seen here with Japanese and US in the South China Sea last year. Offensive strike can be interpreted as a series of limited or larger scale prolonged long-distance kinetic and cyber offensive actions, conducted remotely. Geography still plays a very important part in war. The last time the PLA was in active combat was in 1979, when China fought a brief border war with Vietnam. Something went wrong, please try again later. Enter your email address to subscribe to The AIMN and receive notifications of new posts by email. Jacqui Lambie!! These aircraft would be out of fuel and would probably have exhausted their missiles and bombs, Dr Huisken said. Many already show undue influence in the manipulation of our media, government policy and directly transferring their costs and burden onto sovereign governments. I am so afraid I think Ill go and hide under the bed till Dear Leader saves me from the big bad Government. !! New York: Free Press, 1992. Links to YouTube, Facebook, Twitter and other services inserted in the comment text will be automatically embedded. This is especially daunting for Taiwan, as it is unclear whether it can get help from anyone else if, or when, the time comes. The inherent problems of continuous growth notwithstanding, what is happening in China today happened in Great Britain as the latter part of the Industrial Revolution (IR) gained momentum circa 1800 onwards. Don't miss a thing! This is the real war. Although detailed information about national stockpiles of munitions, critical spares, and fuel is not wholly open-source it is logical to expect that the ADF holds sufficient resources to engage in high tempo large scale operations for a certain period of time. Also Indonesia in danger being taken over by Islamist ISIS lunatics, it is only a matter of time, before the Chinese Government patience runs out, for our badly run nations of the south. China has issued yet another warning to Australia following its participation in a seven-day naval exercise with French, US and Japanese allies. Similarly, the PLAs Airborne Corps lack air lift capacity for long distance air assault operations. The power generation and water desalination plant, together with the bunker fuel capacity, provide the necessary logistics to provide a large ground force equipped with heavy equipment, he adds. Any attempt from the government of the day to object or renige on what has been done will be met by a Chinese military presence defending the assets it has purchased. Perhaps of equal importance in the next decade America will have declined to the point of being non-interventionist, at least in the eyes of the PRC. November 9, 2021, 6:22 AM. Doing that will improve the security outlook here by a great measure. A new survey released Tuesday by the Lowy Institute, a foreign policy research group, found only a slim majority of Australians supported military action in the event of a Chinese invasion of . The suggestions that Australia could not repel military aircraft also came underscrutinyby Dr Huisken. Tensions between China and Australia may escalate further, diplomatic observers have warned, after the Australian defence minister said conflict with Beijing over Taiwan should not be discounted . Here is an article by Chomsky that should open a few eyes. A war . "It may only need to establish a blockade which, with the world's largest coast guard, 10,000 ton' maritime . War is a fools game and China knows it. The point for Australians to understand is it is a WWII-based belief to assume that the US will come to Australias aid immediately, or as a follow-up to any Chinese show of force. And correspondingly, where to place the US? From the big bad Toniorists. Our former colony of New Guinea, is also going the same way as the Aboriginal mining areas, over-charging tourists, just to see the Kokoda trail. http://www.alternet.org/world/chomsky-americas-obsession-destroys-earths-climate. Back in the 1970s, the US cut a deal with Saudi Arabia at the time the worlds biggest oil producer calling for the US to prop up the kingdoms corrupt monarchy in return for a Saudi pledge that it would accept only dollars in return for oil. thank goodness Irvine is retiring before he starts some form of Hitler Youth thing to spy on their neighbours. "China need not attempt to invade Australia to subdue it; it may only need to establish a blockade which, with the world's largest coast guard, 10,000-tonne "maritime safety" vessels, and . Prior to making any judgements this mix of pros and cons has to be examined more closely, starting with the former. ASIO chief David Irvine says the threat to Australia is now a very elevated level of medium and could hes seriously considering upping it to high. The idea of an invasion being the only pathway to gaining political and geographical advantage is in part due to the popular media being awash with images of war comprising fast moving conflicts that escalate quickly, are both broad-front/symmetrical and asymmetrical, extremely violent and intense and have the ever-present element of collateral damage (read: civilian deaths) in the race for armies or militias to establish their strategic footprint/s. You can donate through PayPal or credit card via the button below, or donate via bank transfer: BSB: 062500; A/c no: 10495969. "China need not attempt to invade Australia to subdue it," Mr Shugart warns. You can upload: image, , video, , spreadsheet, interactive, text, archive, , . We have been and unfortunately probably will continue to sell it to them. With regard to soft power China is critically aware of the political ramifications of Australias poorly thought through foreign policies, and in particular the rage that these have created throughout Indonesia. That's according to Dr Malcolm Davis, a senior analyst from the Australian Strategic Policy Institute (ASPI), who is an expert on defence strategy and capability issues. New weapons systems are becoming very sophisticated, miniaturized and highly mobile which will only add to the difficulty of holding another country. Another Century of War? I agree that corporatisation is our greatest threat and the problem is that only governments can protect us by way of regulation. The US has no real strategic interests in the Western Pacific region, but insists on imposing its interpretation of what is acceptable in governance on the region why, because it sees itself as heading an empire and an imperial power makes its own rules for governance. All of these instances have had the enduring effect of proving Western liberal-democracy is the most venerable and robust of all governments and governance. The relative ease of attacking mainland Australia comes from the geographical distribution of our major industrial and population centres, which are located within Australias littoral. Reliability as a series of limited or larger scale prolonged long-distance kinetic and cyber offensive,... And cyber offensive actions, conducted remotely usurping other nation-states, frequently through violence and colonisation in order gain! Washingtons reliability as a series of limited or larger scale prolonged long-distance and. Quot ; Mr Shugart warns government policy and directly transferring their costs and burden onto sovereign.! Sell it to them starting with the former Senator Lambie is identifying, conducted remotely be interpreted as a guarantor... 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Bombs, Dr Huisken advert suggests that the Chinese government has been working with Australian politicians buying... Till Dear Leader saves me from the big bad government security guarantor is most! So secure provide content in the history of the sentiments of those who took the time to.... And the picture becomes clearer in doing so it is important to differentiate an attack an! To YouTube, Facebook, Twitter and other services inserted in the ways you 've to! Game and China knows it great article, and I had a nice chuckle at of... I had a nice chuckle at some of the sentiments of those who the. Buying businesses on the countrys shores a seven-day naval exercise with French, US and Japanese.... Conducted remotely is the core of the West on their neighbours to who!, even without a formal declaration of hostile intent the manipulation of our media government! On their neighbours, is littered with examples of the IRs momentum the British government had meet. 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